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Super Micro’s AI Guidance Is Huge—But Margins Are the Plot Twist

Super Micro’s AI Guidance Is Huge—But Margins Are the Plot Twist

Kai @ KAHROS

TL;DR

Quick Summary

  • SMCI guided to up to $11B next-quarter revenue and at least $36B for FY26, but just posted a 15% revenue decline with margin pressure.
  • Stock closed at $38.82 (-3.4%) and trades below its 50- and 200-day averages; execution on margins and delivery is the catalyst.
  • AI demand is strong, but competitors like $DELL and $VRT are executing cleanly—raising the bar for SMCI’s next few quarters.

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