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NVIDIA Corporation’s $4.6T reality check: AI is still the story, but geopolitics just grabbed the mic

NVIDIA Corporation’s $4.6T reality check: AI is still the story, but geopolitics just grabbed the mic

KAHROS Team

TL;DR

Quick Summary

  • NVIDIA heads into its February 25, 2026 earnings report with a market cap near $4.6T, meaning expectations aren’t just high—they’re structural.
  • U.S.–China policy signals around sales of NVIDIA’s Hopper H200 chips are back in focus, reinforcing that geopolitics can move the narrative fast.
  • The AI boom is still physical: data-center infrastructure demand (like Vertiv’s $15B backlog reported for Q4 2025) suggests the buildout is ongoing.

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NVIDIA in 2026: AI demand meets geopolitics and rivals | KAHROS